In the most recent simExchange report, analyst Jesse Divnich had some interesting predictions about Wii software sales. According to Divinich, the top selling games will be as follows (including estimated worldwide sales for the software during the Wii's lifetime):
| Name | Date |
|---|---|
| SNK Arcade Classics Vol. 1 | July 15 |
| Strong Bad's Game for Attractive People | July TBA |
| Rock Band Track Pack Vol. 1 | July 15 |
| We Love Golf | July 15 |
| Wii Fanboy goes to E3 | July 15-17 |
| Order Up! | July 22 |
| LEGO Batman | Sept. TBA |
| Star Wars: Force Unleashed | Sept. 16 |
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Reader Comments (Page 1 of 1)
1-10-2008 @ 8:52PM
gorecki said...
put Wii Fit into second place and bump the rest down.
There's your top 5.
Reply
1-10-2008 @ 9:07PM
Christopher said...
My prediction for best selling Wii game of all time:
WiiSports 2
Reply
1-10-2008 @ 10:13PM
SoshiKitai said...
Er yeah... I gotta' agree with gorecki...
These "analysts" really don't see things from a realistic point of view, do they?
Wii Fit is going to dominate more in the United States than it would ever had in Japan.
The amount of casual gamers here compared to them is going to demolish their charts.
Wii Fit is going to DOMINATE here in the US, whether hardcore gamers like it or not. And ESPECIALLY whether analysts like it or not.
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1-10-2008 @ 10:25PM
Jeff said...
I'm thinking Spore might be the third-party that could hit the top 5.
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1-11-2008 @ 12:31AM
Adv2k1 said...
Well unlike Wiisports, Wiifit only has appeal for 30 and up which is a shaky at best market base.
Now Brawl has 30 and below crowd locked up. It will be great divide as older generations buy and young generations have better things to do.
overall it sounds right however.
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1-11-2008 @ 1:37AM
SoshiKitai said...
... for some reason, I forgot Brawl was on that list.
Brawl will be 2nd then. WiiSports is #1 because I don't think the people will stop searching for Wiis any time soon. (It might finally end this year)
Brawl's lovability spreads like the others did. As many people went to their friend's house because they didn't bother getting a GameCube, it'll be the same for this one... and once again, this game will blow things outta' the water for these people, and they'll rush to buy a Wii like they did with the Cube (which will, again, put up WiiSports sales)...
However, WiiFit won't stay 3rd for long... it ain't just 30 and up. You forget to realize that there are a lot of 20-year-olds who feel 30 already... And you can't imagine how many health institutes will buy several Wiis (again, WiiSports sales will rise) (if they haven't bought a Wii already) just to get this game!
And don't underestimate the 30-and-up market is, these people are finally buying Wiis for themselves rather than for their children...
And if A LOT OF CHILDREN had introduced their Wiis to their parents (and they have... if another parent had shown them it already), you can already imagine that WiiFit sales will SKYROCKET...
Afterall, think of how many kids enjoy... let's say... Raving Rabbids or Super Mario Galaxy. You can almost say that all those kids have parents who are interested in the Wii, and almost be sure they'll be interested in WiiFit.
KIDS! DEFEND YOUR WIIS WHEN WIIFIT COMES!!! O_O
The 30-and-up is a big market. A HUGE market. And the Wii's success is mainly based on it. (Trust me, the sales doesn't grow just because people's grandkids want it) It'll definitely be a huge hit.
1-11-2008 @ 2:23AM
Joloto said...
How can anyone really take this asshole seriously? With his 4 sigfig precision, all he can ever hope to be is a douchebag.
If SSBB sells within even 500,000 units of his exact prediction, I will eat my hat.
Reply
1-11-2008 @ 5:33AM
Christopher said...
My prediction for best selling Wii game of all time:
WiiSports 2
Reply
1-11-2008 @ 7:14AM
sba sb3002 said...
I would have to disagree with this. There's not way a mini game collection could outsell Galaxy and Brawl.
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1-11-2008 @ 9:12AM
bransman said...
It's not so much the minigame collection that's doing the outselling. It's more the controller coupled with the cheap minigame.
1-11-2008 @ 8:51AM
Justin said...
1. Alien Syndrome
2. Chicken Shoot
3. Ultimate Board Game Collection
4. Wii Hooked
5. Ben 10
Watch out they are tearing up the charts. LOL!
Reply
1-11-2008 @ 9:02AM
Mr Khan said...
I wouldn't think that Brawl or Mario Kart would get up that high
9, 10 million for those titles, tops
Reply
1-11-2008 @ 9:12AM
Mr Khan said...
This might be a double post, but...
I don't think Brawl and Mario Kart will get that high, 9, 10 million, tops
Reply
1-11-2008 @ 3:32PM
student said...
Don't speak too soon against brawl and mario kart. Melee and double dash both sold 6.6 million on the gamecube. For comparison, Galaxy has already sold 4.5million whereas mario sunshine sold 5.8 million in its entire life. So it's very possible that the games could do double their predecessors.
Reply
1-11-2008 @ 3:41PM
Jesse_Divnich said...
Joloto, all estimates are based on the mathematical formula of a prediction market (stock market) the best way for forecasting data.
Also, despite what most think, I don't get paid for these reports.
And be ready to eat your hat. SSBB is expectef to have a 15% market penetration. Are you saying that 1.5 out of 10 wii owners wont own SSBB? Wii Play being almost 1 in 5.
Reply
1-11-2008 @ 4:07PM
Jesse_Divnich said...
Also, the figures are predictions/expectations that come from a registered user base of 8,000+ gamers, investors, developers, retailers, and etc.
Check out the site at www.thesimexchange.com . to get a better idea on how it works.
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1-11-2008 @ 8:19PM
sba sb3002 said...
I would have to disagree with this. There's not way a mini game collection could outsell Galaxy and Brawl.
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1-11-2008 @ 9:57PM
Jesse_Divnich said...
ohh it will happen, no doubt. But its an unfair advantage for Wii Play as it is bundle with an extra controller.
Personally, I think it should be classified as an accessory.
Also, if blogs want to get these reports directly, sign up for our monthly report at http://www.thesimexchange.com/research.php
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1-11-2008 @ 11:54PM
Nebinator said...
Basically that, but replace mario kart with... well... something else
Reply
1-13-2008 @ 9:40AM
sandra said...
WE BOUGHT WII YESTERDAY - EVENTUALLY! - AND THE TIGER WOODS PGA TOUR 2008. HOW ON EARTH DO YOU SAVE THE GAME? IT GIVES THE OPTION TO SAVE BUT JUST GOES BACK TO ORIGINAL SCREEN AND WE'VE LOST EVERYTHING WE'VE PLAYED. PLEASE HELP? THANKS
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